Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.174372 0.200155 0.229522 0.265675 0.309300 0.360640 0.426225
2025-05-18 0.134306 0.167345 0.209184 0.267039 0.346564 0.454497 0.616515
2025-05-25 0.110586 0.146066 0.194591 0.267857 0.379504 0.550132 0.845574
2025-06-01 0.094200 0.130030 0.182012 0.266161 0.405720 0.641833 1.106983
2025-06-08 0.081770 0.116866 0.170247 0.261738 0.424720 0.726134 1.394724
2025-06-15 0.074675 0.110239 0.166786 0.269181 0.464941 0.861483 1.860444
2025-06-22 0.066734 0.100984 0.157343 0.263907 0.479581 0.950828 2.277138
2025-06-29 0.061506 0.095338 0.152913 0.266572 0.510347 1.087017 2.919809
2025-07-06 0.056277 0.088985 0.146225 0.263421 0.527695 1.198522 3.585344
2025-07-13 0.052926 0.085432 0.144011 0.268690 0.565517 1.380540 4.688863
2025-07-20 0.050118 0.082488 0.142468 0.274980 0.607732 1.596950 6.217620
2025-07-27 0.047484 0.079550 0.140501 0.279909 0.648128 1.831057 8.216662
2025-08-03 0.045244 0.077167 0.139440 0.287069 0.698302 2.135339 11.296960
2025-08-10 0.042811 0.074174 0.136772 0.290000 0.738037 2.432424 15.190857
2025-08-17 0.040487 0.071157 0.133669 0.291291 0.773717 2.743472 20.357956
2025-08-24 0.038158 0.067904 0.129656 0.289507 0.799293 3.033683 26.704918
2025-08-31 0.035833 0.064449 0.124799 0.284618 0.813069 3.282168 34.053918
2025-09-07 0.034642 0.063207 0.124752 0.292899 0.877593 3.871481 51.825891
2025-09-14 0.032627 0.060070 0.120003 0.287038 0.887126 4.153321 66.844352
2025-09-21 0.031329 0.058345 0.118371 0.290000 0.933386 4.733468 99.517205
2025-09-28 0.029759 0.055909 0.114784 0.286498 0.952089 5.151678 137.100899
2025-10-05 0.028826 0.054784 0.114256 0.292355 1.014612 6.010203 229.923878
2025-10-12 0.028008 0.053845 0.114081 0.299353 1.086444 7.089976 421.644535